Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Nov 10 Bowl Projections

Without further adieu, my latest bowl projections based on renewed picks for the remaining games.







1. Florida 12-0, 8-0

Sugar



2. Tennessee 8-4, 5-3

Outback



3. Georgia 7-5, 5-3

Liberty



4. South Carolina 6-6, 3-5

Papajohns.com



5. Kentucky 6-6, 2-6

Independence



6. Vandy 2-10, 0-8





West

1. Alabama 12-0, 8-0

National Championship



2. LSU 10-2, 6-2

Capital One



3(t). Auburn 7-5, 3-5

Chick-Fil-A



3(t). Arkansas 7-5, 3-5

Cotton



5. Mississippi State 3-5, 5-7

Out



6. Ole Miss 2-6, 6-6

Music City



A few games this weekend will really clarify the SEC middle tier picture. UT goes to Ole Miss, in a game I have UT winning. (In fact, my standings assume that Mississippi loses out, including a home loss to Mississippi State to end the season.) Ole Miss is actually a four point favorite against UT, so it could go either way. Auburn travels to Georgia and again the home team is favored by less than a TD. I have Georgia pulling that one out but to me it is another coin flip. If both those games fall the other way, the picture changes substantially.



As to the slotting, there are a couple of total guesses. If the standings are as above, the Cotton would be choosing between Auburn, Arkansas and Georgia. With the relative proximity, Gus Malzahn's offense, and Ryan Mallett's cannon right arm, I'd pick Arkansas. Also, assuming it plays out exactly as above, there is a good chance the Cats sneak into the Music City at 6-6. I can see that committee picking Ole Miss, because Jevan Snead was once a Heisman contender and they might make for a more competitive game. On the other hand, the Rebels would have had a ridiculously disappointing year, and the Music City might prefer to rely on Old Faithful and ensure a good crowd. I don't think South Carolina will be an attractive participant unless they manage to beat Clemson in their last game, climbing the ladder to 7-5. They will be at the end of the line otherwise.



Of course, none of this talk means much if we cannot beat Vandy Saturday.

2 comments:

Dave Zahniser said...

Just like last year, the Cats are one big win (USC, MSU) away from looking at a big upgrade in bowl games, away from the Independence, Liberty, Music City, pizza website bowls and into the Cotton, Peach Bowls. Very disappointing.

Anonymous said...

Genial brief and this mail helped me alot in my college assignement. Thank you on your information.

 
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